By H. S Hall
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Continuing one of our running themes, risk might be split into two areas – the possibility that what we believe or hope will happen to boost our investment does not materialize, although nobody is to blame, and the possibility that hoped-for boost never materializes, only this time it is because of the action or inaction of a state, government, company or even an individual. Beginning with that ﬁrst set of risks, it may be instructive to refer back to our reasons for investing in emerging markets.
Even if investors were to direct a fraction more of their overall portfo lios towards the emerging markets space, that in itself would be likely to prove a powerful driver. Flows of money can take on a disproportionate signiﬁcance in what are still small markets. “If you have an increasing number of people recognizing the structural shift that is happening in this world and investing more money, then the impact could be powerful,” says Feriani. “We’re seeing signs of that as more people realize the case for emerging markets.
We’re seeing signs of that as more people realize the case for emerging markets. However, we don’t want to see it all happen at the same time so we’d still like to have a lot of sceptical people coming to this camp over the years. “Otherwise we could even have a bubble, which is not something we would like to see. ” That leads us neatly enough into the potential downsides of investing in emerging markets. 9 RISK Risk is a little word but it looms large over the emerging markets space. Investors must go in with their eyes open and there are certain actions they can take to mitigate risk, which we shall discuss shortly, but there is no getting away from the fact that investing in emerging markets inherently involves a number of potential downsides.